DC Lite #438

"The IMI’s Risk Appetite Index has fallen to -26% in September from -20 in August"

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1. Rent prices. "The median U.S. asking rent rose 2.6% ($45) year over year to $1,790 in August—the largest increase since December 2022 ... Rents are rising because demand is strong—in part due to high homebuying costs—and supply is cooling."

2. QCEW revisions. "Just over half of the [-911k] revision was in Leisure and hospitality (-176k), Professional and business services (-158k), and Retail trade (-126k)."

3. Investment Manager Index. "The IMI’s Risk Appetite Index has fallen to -26% in September from -20 in August, dropping to its lowest since April to signal increased risk aversion ... The risk averse mood is underscored by typically defensive stocks topping the ranking of investor sector preferences in September."

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4. SPX vs. RTY skew. "In the options market, the so-called skew for ETFs tracking the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 is steep, while the same measure for ETFs trading the small-cap Russell 2000 Index is flat, signaling that traders see more downside risk for large-cap stocks."

5. Bull markets. "The S&P 500 index has now gained 88% since the cyclical bull market started 35 months ago on October 13, 2022. The median bull market lasts 30 months and produces a 90% gain, so this one remains on par with history."

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