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DC Lite #415
"The sentiment and positioning indicators we are tracking do not indicate exuberance at present"
Daily Chartbook
August 06, 2025
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1. Spending by income quintile. "The K-shaped economy that has defined the U.S. in the post-pandemic era is predicated on upper-income groups continuing to spend at a strong clip."
2. The Apprentice: Federal Reserve Chair. "Betting to replace Jay Powell … Kevin Hassett (red) and No announcement (black) are surging into the lead."
3. Global risk sentiment. "The sentiment and positioning indicators we are tracking do not indicate exuberance at present."
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4. Institutional options. "Citadel Securities’ institutional clients have been bearish 8 of the past 12 weeks ... However, a notable shift occurred last week: we observed a sharp increase in call option activity, indicating a potential change in sentiment as high flying names have created a ‘force-in’ dynamic."
5. Big Tech EPS. "It's not just that Big Tech has had better earnings growth than the other 493. Their actual EPS has surprised Wall Street by more than the rest of the market too."
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