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- DC Lite #361
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Welcome back to DC Lite: Daily Chartbook’s free, entry-level newsletter containing 5 of the day’s best charts & insights.
1. SLOOS. Bank loan officers reported tighter lending standards and weaker demand for commercial & industrial loans across firms of all sizes in Q1.
2. USD positioning. "Dollar Net Short Positioning dropped to -$17Bn this week, from -$16.6Bn last week. This is where the Dollar bottomed in 2023 and 2024."
3. Single stock skew. "Still room for relief rallies in US equities. Single stock put-call skew has been a great crowd-sourced metric to describe fear levels over the past 20 years ... We believe this shows the rally is not crowded and there is more room for fear levels to decline. This remains the most useful quantitative options signal for predicting SPX forward returns."
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4. Nasdaq-100 vs. 200MA. "NASDAQ 100 [climbed] above its 200 day moving average for the first time in 2 months. Tends to be bullish for stocks over the coming months."
5. Earnings sentiment. And finally, "S&P 500 earnings sentiment has improved sharply."
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