DC Lite #479

"The month with the most annual highs, and not by a small margin, is December"

Daily Chartbook
November 13, 2025

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1. Alt data. "Alternative data show weaker labor & inflation momentum: job growth stalling, layoffs ticking up inflation peaking. Fed easing should continue, whether in Dec or Jan."

@felixavp

2. FedWatch. December's FOMC meeting is down to a coin flip. The market-implied probability of a 25bps cut was 95% a month ago.

CME FedWatch

3. BTC long-term holders. "Interesting visual from crypto quant on long term holder bitcoin selling, seems like it's been coming from all age brackets."

@wclementeiii

4. AAII Sentiment Survey. "AAII Bears is at 49.1%, while $SPX is within 1% of an All Time High. This is very rare: only happened 1 other time before this year. April 10, 2013 - $SPX rallied 18% over the next 12 months."

@themarketstats

5. ATHs by month. "The month with the most annual highs, and not by a small margin, is December."

Jeff Hirsch - Almanac Trader

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