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DC Lite #477
"Retail investors continue to add into weakness, becoming the new price setters"
Daily Chartbook
November 11, 2025
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1. NFIB. “Small businesses’ single most important problem in October: quality of labor (massive spike).”
2. NFP. "We expect official nonfarm payrolls to show a 50k decline in October."
3. Retail BTFD. "Retail investors continue to add into weakness, becoming the new price setters … During the latest pullback, retail flows showed one of the largest 'buy-the-dip' events on record."
4. Institutional Investor Risk Appetite. "The State Street Risk Appetite Index has taken a step down from the highest level all year to a neutral reading. Institutional investors are not turning risk-averse, instead they have increased their allocation to stocks to 18 years high."
5. Big Tech CDS. "The Big Tech CDS has surged this year with Oracle CDS leading the rise. The big Tech CDS is now highest in over 2 years, rising from cycle-lows. While the standalone chart show concerns, when compared with the broader IG market, the spreads are still below the aggregate Investment Grade credit and that the IG CDS is still near cycle lows."
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