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DC Lite #459
"Retail has bought over +$100B of US stocks in the last month, the largest 1M buying on record"
Daily Chartbook
October 08, 2025
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1. Fiat debasement. "Another way to visualize it: It's not 'dollar-debasement,' it's fiat debasement. And it has accelerated in September."
2. Commercial hedgers vs. DXY. "The smart money is taking its largest net long position in over four years … It’s not a trade signal on its own, but it’s a powerful way to gauge market sentiment and positioning."
3. STAX. "Schwab clients were net buyers of stocks for the fourth straight month in September, still piling into Nvidia (NVDA) while also gravitating toward some smaller names as interest in AI-related stocks beyond the Magnificent Seven continued to shape their trading. Clients ... also ventured into sectors like materials, consumer staples, and industrials".
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4. Retail demand. "We have just witnessed the largest Retail Investor buying EVER. Retail has bought over +$100B of US stocks in the last month, the largest 1M buying on record."
5. Q3 earnings growth. According to Goldman, 6 sectors are expected to post positive earnings growth in Q3, led by Tech (20%), Financials (10%), and Materials (9%). The median stock for each of those sectors is expected to post double-digit EPS growth.
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