DC Lite #454

"While there may be a bubble, the moment everyone spots it may be the moment it is least likely to burst"

Author

Daily Chartbook
October 01, 2025

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Welcome back to DC Lite: Daily Chartbook’s free, entry-level newsletter containing 5 of the day’s best charts & insights.

1. AI bubble. "While there may be a bubble, the moment everyone spots it may be the moment it is least likely to burst."

2. Households vs. stocks. "For better or worse, households’ financial fates have become more and more tied to the S&P."

3. Super sector weightings. "The average cap-weighted index investor today is heavily allocated to Tech and running record low allocations to Defensives."

4. Q3 ATHs. "On virtually no one’s bingo card, the S&P 500 made 23 new all-time highs in the third quarter, tying the most for any quarter since 1998."

5. Buffett Indicator. "The ratio of the US Stock Market’s Value to GDP (aka the 'Buffett Indicator') has moved up to a new record high at 217%. That’s now more than 2 standard deviations above the long-term trendline."

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DC Lite #453

"Over past week, significant outflows for equities across board, while most areas of fixed income saw inflows"

www.dailychartbook.com/p/dc-lite-453

DC Lite #452

"Global breadth is not just positive. It is relentless!"

www.dailychartbook.com/p/dc-lite-452

DC Lite #451

"This is a major level for Bitcoin"

www.dailychartbook.com/p/dc-lite-451

DC Lite #450

"This chart might be the simplest explanation for US equity market resilience since 2011: limited supply"

www.dailychartbook.com/p/dc-lite-450

DC Lite #449

"AI related stocks have accounted for 75% of S&P 500 returns, 80% of earnings growth and 90% of capital spending growth since ChatGPT launched in November 2022"

www.dailychartbook.com/p/dc-lite-449

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