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DC Lite #454
"While there may be a bubble, the moment everyone spots it may be the moment it is least likely to burst"
Daily Chartbook
October 01, 2025
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Welcome back to DC Lite: Daily Chartbook’s free, entry-level newsletter containing 5 of the day’s best charts & insights.
1. AI bubble. "While there may be a bubble, the moment everyone spots it may be the moment it is least likely to burst."
2. Households vs. stocks. "For better or worse, households’ financial fates have become more and more tied to the S&P."
3. Super sector weightings. "The average cap-weighted index investor today is heavily allocated to Tech and running record low allocations to Defensives."
4. Q3 ATHs. "On virtually no one’s bingo card, the S&P 500 made 23 new all-time highs in the third quarter, tying the most for any quarter since 1998."
5. Buffett Indicator. "The ratio of the US Stock Market’s Value to GDP (aka the 'Buffett Indicator') has moved up to a new record high at 217%. That’s now more than 2 standard deviations above the long-term trendline."
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