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- DC Lite #451
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Welcome back to DC Lite: Daily Chartbook’s free, entry-level newsletter containing 5 of the day’s best charts & insights.
1. Government shutdown. Prediction markets increasingly expect a US government shutdown in 2025.
2. Q3 GDP. The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model estimate for Q3 GDP growth jumped to 3.9% from 3.3% on Sep 17.
3. USD vs. econ surprise. "Market is not positioned for stronger US data."
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4. BTC key level. "This is a major level for Bitcoin — right at the VWAP from April lows and former resistance from earlier this year."
5. SPX vs. 200DMA. "It's helpful to look at the S&P compared to its 200-day moving average. The current number ... is at 10%, but that's not when we've seen local tops. We've generally seen local tops when this number is somewhere between 13% an 15% ... that would imply 6,950."
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