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DC Lite #432
Analysts have increased EPS estimates for Q3 over July and August. Typically, they lower estimates over the first two months of a quarter.
Daily Chartbook
August 29, 2025
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1. PCE. "Housing and utilities inflation from PCE has stalled this year despite steadily falling cost of housing. The inflationary driver is distinctly surging electricity cost, which has been in part attributable to AI compute. Yet, AI capex is allegedly one of the few growth drivers."
2. Economic surprise. Citi's Economic Surprise Index is up its highest since late 2024.
3. Gold. The price of gold broke out of a 4-month consolidation to new all-time highs.
4. CTAs vs. equities. "The latest CTA positioning data across global equity indices highlights a broad build-up of long exposure, signaling systematic funds have leaned heavily into equities."
5. Q3 EPS revisions. Analysts have increased EPS estimates for Q3 over July and August. Typically, they lower estimates over the first two months of a quarter.
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