DC Lite #429

"The mortgage spread has dropped to a 3-year low. That's good news for homebuyers and refinancers"

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1. Mortgage spread. "The mortgage spread has dropped to a 3-year low. That's good news for homebuyers and refinancers."

2. Labor market differential. "Consumers see increasing slack in the jobs market. The Labor Differential continues to soften, falling to a fresh low of 9.7 in August. In particular, we saw a notable jump in those saying 'jobs hard to get.'"

3. BTC realized profit. "Long-term holders have already realized more profit this cycle than in all but one prior cycle (2016–17), highlighting elevated sell-side pressure. Taken alongside other signals, this suggests the market has entered a late phase of the cycle."

4. R2K flows. Last week's flows into $IWM were the largest since the week of the election in early November.

5. Revisions breadth. "The percentages of S&P 500 companies with positive three-month changes in forward revenues and forward earnings have increased significantly in recent weeks. That suggests that the S&P 493 should do well."

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