DC Lite #374

Stocks posted their largest May gain since 1990

Author

Daily Chartbook
May 30, 2025

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1. Q2 GDP. "The Atlanta Fed's initial GDPNow model estimate for Q2 2025 GDP growth rate jumped to 3.8%, with net exports contributing +1.4pp."

2. Equity positioning. Barclays “says with most equity strategies underweight, the pain trade remains to the upside.”

3. Retail investors vs. Mag 7. Retail investors' "portfolio weights in Mag7 have declined significantly over the past year, from 10% last summer to ~1.5% recently."

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4. SPX vs. May. Stocks posted their largest May gain since 1990.

5. 5% May. "Here are the six times the S&P 500 gained at least 5% in May and what happened next. You can see stronger returns across the board and a year later up double digits five of six times."

ICYMI

DC Lite #373

"Global economic surprise indexes that measure incoming economic data against consensus forecasts are at their highest levels in a year"

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DC Lite #372

"US Pensions are modeled to SELL $19bn of US equities for month-end"

www.dailychartbook.com/p/dc-lite-372

DC Lite #371

"ETF Investors are selling into the rally"

www.dailychartbook.com/p/dc-lite-371

DC Lite #370

"Silver extends its rally toward multi-year highs, but Q-CTA positioning has only just started to recover"

www.dailychartbook.com/p/dc-lite-370

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