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DC Lite #491
"NASDAQ 100 Closed higher than its Open for 8 consecutive days"
Welcome back to DC Lite: Daily Chartbook’s free, entry-level newsletter containing 5 of the day’s best charts & insights.
1. Cold feet. In October, 15.1% (~53k) of home-purchase agreements were canceled, the highest share since November 2023 and up from 14.3% a year earlier.
2. ADP. "Private payrolls negative over the last three months … Over the last three months, small business have cut 178,000 off their payroll ranks. By contrast, large firms have added 143,000."
3. Average daily share volume. "Average daily share volume on and off U.S. exchanges has nearly tripled since 2017 and is up by a lot more than that in dollar terms."
4. Nasdaq-100 streak. "NASDAQ 100 Closed higher than its Open for 8 consecutive days. Similar cases saw the NASDAQ rally 32 out of 33 times 9 months later, with an average gain of 15.6%."
5. Return drivers. The S&P 500's returns in 2025 have been powered mostly by earnings (sales + margin growth), with some multiple expansion.
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