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DC Lite #407
"We may be moving towards later innings of the short covering given the magnitude of these moves"
Daily Chartbook
July 25, 2025
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1. Sentiment Gap. "The so-called sentiment gap is now the widest since the pandemic. (If you exclude the pandemic years, it’s the biggest gap since 2011)."
2. Sentiment Composite. "Now touching extreme optimism. Would be logical to see the market cool between mid-August and mid-October."
3. Margin debt vs. GDP. FINRA margin debt crossed above the $1 trillion mark in June. Relative to GDP, it remains below the 2021 peak but above Dotcom and GFC levels.
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4. Hi/Lo short interest. "We may be moving towards later innings of the short covering given the magnitude of these moves."
5. Earnings outlook. "Projected eps growth for the second quarter, the rest of 2025, and the full-year 2026 are all up since the end of June."
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