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DC Lite #508
"Wall Street may be 'always bullish' but they also almost always underestimate the S&P 500"
Daily Chartbook
December 30, 2025
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1. Home prices. "The housing market has picked up some momentum, with house prices rising again in recent months."
2. Inflation expectations. "The focus is shifting away from inflation risk and toward underlying economic activity and growth durability."
3. Financial Conditions Index. Financial conditions point to an accommodative environment for lending and borrowing.
4. NDX insiders. "FWIW, corporate insiders at Nasdaq 100 Index constituent companies are STILL BUYING at a well above average rate."
5. Wall Street vs. SPX. "Wall Street may be 'always bullish' but they also almost always underestimate the S&P 500. Over the last ten years, analysts underestimated by an avg 10 pp and strategists underestimated by 15 pp in years stocks rose. They only overestimated returns in the years stocks fell."
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