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DC Lite #380
Despite the recent buying, hedge fund net exposure is still very low relative to the last 5 years (8th percentile)
Daily Chartbook
June 09, 2025
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1. Cyclicals vs. Defensives. "Rotations within the equity market suggest investors are pricing an optimistic growth outlook. The performance of Cyclicals vs. Defensives reflects a roughly 2% US real GDP growth environment."
2. Hedge fund exposure. Despite the recent buying, hedge fund net exposure is still very low relative to the last 5 years (8th percentile)
3. R2K vs. short interest. "The Russell 2000 continues to trade below its 200-DMA, yet short interest in $IWM has climbed over 50% year-to-date, reaching 36% of all outstanding shares — a significant bearish positioning."
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4. SPX vs. Liberation lows. "The S&P 500 just closed >20% the April 8th near bear market low. Looking at the previous 17 bear or near bear markets shows that once stocks are up 20% off those lows, they were higher a year later 16 out of 17 times. Only a 100 year pandemic didn't work."
5. SPX NTM EPS. "S&P 500 forward EPS estimate hits a fresh all-time high. $280."
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