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"The systematic community has yet to meaningfully de-risk"

DC Lite #552

Author

Daily Chartbook
March 09, 2026

Welcome back to DC Lite: Daily Chartbook’s free, entry-level newsletter containing 5 of the day’s best charts & insights.

1. Job separation expectations. "Respondents don't plan to leave their jobs voluntarily and don't think they can find a job if they lose their job today. This is why there will be no inflationary impulse from the job market."

2. SPRs. "The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve is much lower than usual due to a Biden Administration decision to heavily draw upon it."

3. Crude oil reversal. "Here's the story of the past 24 hours in a chart."

4. Systematic positioning. "The systematic community has yet to meaningfully de-risk. We have CTAs long $36bn of US equities. Per our model, we closed below the medium term threshold (~6760) on Friday. Sell estimates will begin to grow quickly. This cohort will / should garner more attention if volatility continues."

5. VIX reversal. "Only the 17th time we've seen $VIX close down 25% from its intraday high..."

ICYMI

"No silver lining to this jobs report"

DC Lite #551 | Big NFP miss, unemployment duration is rising, oil shock to hit refined products, gold, copper, energy, agriculture, VIX spikes to YTD high

www.dailychartbook.com/p/no-silver-lining-to-this-jobs-report-87ad

Wednesday’s outflow from $GLD was the largest since 2016

Alternative labor market data, occupation AI exposure, gold ETF outflows, bitcoin ETF flows, single-stock vs. index realized volatility | DC Lite

www.dailychartbook.com/p/wednesday-s-outflow-from-gld-was-the-largest-since-2016-d92f

"This is a logical place for the MAGs to catch their breath"

5 key charts on US services, MAG stocks, and market insights | ISM PMI, business activity, inflation trends and expert analysis.

www.dailychartbook.com/p/this-is-a-logical-place-for-the-mags-to-catch-their-breath-7f14

Equal-weight stocks ($RSP) saw a record $5.9bn inflow in February

Equal-weight stocks hit record $5.9bn inflow in February | 5 key charts on inflation expectations, market insights and daily trends from Daily Chartbook.

www.dailychartbook.com/p/equal-weight-stocks-rsp-saw-a-record-5-9bn-inflow-in-february-a07d

Retail investors rotated from stocks to bonds in February

5 of today's best charts: retail rotation from stocks to bonds, PMI cycles, earnings backdrop shifts, institutional holdings lag, and market breadth insights.

www.dailychartbook.com/p/retail-investors-rotated-from-stocks-to-bonds-in-february-5e18

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