DC Lite #158

5 of Thursday's best charts and insights

Welcome back to DC Lite: Daily Chartbook’s free, entry-level newsletter containing 5 of the day’s best charts & insights. Upgrade to get all 30 charts.

1. Fed fund probabilities. Fed swaps are pricing a 93% chance of a Fed cut in September, up from 53% a month ago.

2. Single stock vs. index volatility. “Single-stocks are priced for an up-crash, the index is not.”

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3. Bull market CAGR. "Over a bull market cycle there are two times when being a bear you usually get the horns the most. At the beginning and at the end! Chart of S&P 500 CAGR by trading days across a bull market."

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4. Equal-weight vs. cap-weight. Today's "divergence ranks in the 99th percentile over the past three decades."

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5. IWM vs. QQQ. “$IWM best day vs $QQQ since 2001.”

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